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Combining fracture outcomes in phase 3 trials of osteoporosis : An analysis of the effects of denosumab in postmenopausal women

Kanis, J. A.
Harvey, N. C.
Lorentzon, M.
Liu, E.
Vandenput, L.
McCloskey, E. V.
Johansson, H.
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Abstract
Summary This paper explores use of metrics that combine fracture outcomes that add power to phase 3 studies and provide a surrogate outcome for regulatory agencies. Introduction The aim of this study was to develop an analytic framework that would combine information from all fracture outcomes (including radiographic vertebral fractures) in phase 3 studies to provide a metric for the assessment of treatment efficacy. Methods Data from the phase 3 study of denosumab were used as an exemplar comparing the effects of active intervention with placebo on the risk of all fractures associated with osteoporosis. Fracture outcomes were assigned utility weights drawn from the published literature and applied to age-specific health state values of the general population. For each fracture outcome in each arm of the study, cumulative disutility was computed to serve as the principal end point. The hypothesis tested was that treatment with denosumab results in a significant reduction in mean fracture-related disutility. Results Treatment with denosumab was associated with significantly lower utility loss compared with placebo. For patients treated with denosumab, mean utility loss was 42% less than with placebo (4.5 vs. 7.5 QALYs/1000 patient years, respectively, p < 0.001). Conclusions Denosumab significantly decreased utility loss. The use of metrics that combine fracture outcomes may provide added power to phase 3 studies and provide a surrogate outcome for regulatory agencies.
Keywords
denosumab, disutility, fracture, phase, study, quality of life years
Date
2021
Type
Journal article
Journal
Osteoporosis International
Book
Volume
32
Issue
1
Page Range
165-171
Article Number
ACU Department
Mary MacKillop Institute for Health Research
Faculty of Health Sciences
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Open Access Status
License
All rights reserved
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Controlled
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