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The Multilevel Latent Covariate Model: A new, more reliable approach to group-level effects in contextual studies

Ludtke, Oliver
Marsh, Herbert Warren
Robitzsch, Alexander
Trautwein, Ulrich
Asparouhov, Tihomir
Muthen, Bengt
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Abstract
In multilevel modeling (MLM), group-level (L2) characteristics are often measured by aggregating individual-level (L1) characteristics within each group so as to assess contextual effects (e.g., group-average effects of socioeconomic status, achievement, climate). Most previous applications have used a multilevel manifest covariate (MMC) approach, in which the observed (manifest) group mean is assumed to be perfectly reliable. This article demonstrates mathematically and with simulation results that this MMC approach can result in substantially biased estimates of contextual effects and can substantially underestimate the associated standard errors, depending on the number of L1 individuals per group, the number of groups, the intraclass correlation, the sampling ratio (the percentage of cases within each group sampled), and the nature of the data. To address this pervasive problem, the authors introduce a new multilevel latent covariate (MLC) approach that corrects for unreliability at L2 and results in unbiased estimates of L2 constructs under appropriate conditions. However, under some circumstances when the sampling ratio approaches 100%, the MMC approach provides more accurate estimates. Based on 3 simulations and 2 real-data applications, the authors evaluate the MMC and MLC approaches and suggest when researchers should most appropriately use one, the other, or a combination of both approaches.
Keywords
multilevel modeling, contextual analysis, latent variables, structural equation modeling, Mplus
Date
2008
Type
Journal article
Journal
Psychological Methods
Book
Volume
13
Issue
3
Page Range
203-229
Article Number
ACU Department
Institute for Positive Psychology and Education
Faculty of Education and Arts
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