Does asylum seeker immigration increase support for the far right? Evidence from the United Kingdom, 2000–2015

Journal article


Kenny, Paul D. and Miller, Charles. (2022). Does asylum seeker immigration increase support for the far right? Evidence from the United Kingdom, 2000–2015. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies. 48(7), pp. 1629-1646. https://doi.org/10.1080/1369183X.2020.1776596
AuthorsKenny, Paul D. and Miller, Charles
Abstract

What effect does the influx of asylum seekers have on the electoral support of the far right? This paper answers this question by examining changes in support for far right parties in response to the British government's relocation of asylum seekers across the United Kingdom from 2000 to 2015. Relying primarily on a difference-in-differences (DD) empirical strategy, our main finding is that an increase in the number of asylum seekers dispersed to a local authority is associated with an increase in the vote share of parties of the far right. Further tests indicate that the effect is due both to the far right contesting more seats in those localities receiving asylum seekers and to higher levels of support it receives in those areas where it is present. We find the effect is non-linear, that it is mitigated by higher recipient area ethnic diversity, and that it is limited to the most extreme right-wing parties.

Keywordsimmigration; asylum seekers; far right; threat perception
Year2022
JournalJournal of Ethnic and Migration Studies
Journal citation48 (7), pp. 1629-1646
PublisherRoutledge
ISSN1369-183X
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1080/1369183X.2020.1776596
Scopus EID2-s2.0-85087090056
Page range1629-1646
Publisher's version
License
All rights reserved
File Access Level
Controlled
Output statusPublished
Publication dates
Online04 Jun 2020
Publication process dates
Accepted28 Apr 2020
Deposited30 Jun 2021
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